01
WSR Conference — University of Lagos · 23 July 2026 · ID: WSR 04_Poster
Public Sector & Policy·Case 01·2026

Systems-Based Approach to Improving Urban Water Access in Low-Income Communities

Systems ThinkingMBSECausal Loop DiagramsUrban InfrastructureWater Equity
Student

Fuad ALIPHATIC Adegoke

BSc. Systems Engineering (Undergraduate), UNILAG

01
The Problem

Plain language

Urban water access remains a critical challenge in low-income communities, where infrastructural gaps, weak governance frameworks, and fragmented service delivery systems limit reliable access to safe water. Water insecurity persists due to interconnected relationships between infrastructure, institutions, and community-level factors. Currently, households endure 8–12 hours/day of highly intermittent service and pay a 3–5× cost premium to informal water vendors compared to utility baselines. This study reframes urban water access as a complex, multi-stakeholder system rather than an isolated infrastructural problem.

Research Objectives

01

Identify systemic bottlenecks limiting water access in low-income urban communities.

02

Map relationships between infrastructure, stakeholders, and policy mechanisms using systems thinking tools.

03

Propose a systems-based intervention framework that improves water access resilience and equity.

Key System Bottlenecks Identified

Supply Constraints

Infrastructure deficits leading to highly intermittent service (8–12 hrs/day average).

Pressure Drops

Hydraulic imbalances across key municipal distribution nodes.

Informal Sourcing

Relying on high-cost informal vendors due to formal grid absence (3–5× premium).

Revenue Loss

Concentrated physical leaks and non-revenue water eroding system viability.

Underlying Root Causes

Network hydraulic imbalance, fragmented governance, inadequate metering & loss detection, and socio-economic barriers to formal service uptake.

02
Methodology

SE approach applied

Applied an Integrated Systems Engineering Approach incorporating stakeholder mapping, root-cause analysis, and systems modelling to characterise the water access ecosystem. Adopted methods include Systems Thinking to capture the complex web of interactions between social, technical, and environmental elements; Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE) to define precise architecture models for intervention kiosk nodes; Causal Loop & Ishikawa Diagrams to map feedback loops, pressure drops, informal market dynamics, and structural leaks; and Feedback-Driven Design targeting a closed-loop resilient system with localized telemetry and adaptive monitoring.

Adopted Systems Methods

Systems Thinking

Captures the complex web of interactions between social, technical, and environmental elements.

Model-Based Systems Engineering (MBSE)

Defines precise architecture models for the intervention kiosk nodes.

Causal Loop & Ishikawa Diagrams

Maps feedback loops, pressure drops, informal market dynamics, and structural leaks.

Feedback-Driven Design

Targets a closed-loop resilient system featuring localized telemetry and adaptive monitoring.

Disciplines Applied

Systems ThinkingMBSECausal Loop DiagramsUrban InfrastructureWater Equity
Multi-Stakeholder Ecosystem

Stakeholder Mapping & Functional Roles

Node 01

Government Regulators

Policy, tariffs, and long-range infrastructure planning

Node 02

Water Utility Providers

Supply, treatment, and distribution networks

Node 03

NGOs & Donors

Interventions, financing, and community development programmes

Node 04

Informal Vendors & Markets

Last-mile provisioning, pricing signals, and localized delivery

Node 05

Community Households

End-users; demand patterns, affordability constraints, and local governance

Proposed Systems-Based Solution

4-Pillar Intervention Framework

Pillar 01

1. Localised Modular Kiosks

Decentralised nodes equipped with storage, treatment capabilities, and smart metering.

Pillar 02

2. Digital Monitoring & AI Diagnostics

Telemetry for pressure and quality metrics combined with anomaly detection via lightweight ML models.

Pillar 03

3. Adaptive Governance Protocol

Shared operating agreements linking the utility provider, community water committee, and NGO funders.

Pillar 04

4. Market Integration

Formalised vendor partnerships, dynamic pricing frameworks, and targeted pro-poor subsidies.

Key Outcomes
8–12 hrs
Intermittent supply baseline
3–5×
Vendor cost premium targeted
4 Pillars
Integrated solution nodes
03
Outcome

Impact & results

Formulated a holistic systems intervention framework presented at the WSR Conference (UNILAG). The model targets expanding reliable daily service hours, achieving WHO/UNICEF quality compliance, standardizing pricing to eliminate vendor premiums, and cutting non-revenue water losses near informal nodes. Demonstrates that implementing decentralized distribution and active feedback loops concurrently provides a far more sustainable pathway than traditional infrastructure-only designs. A 3-stage scaling roadmap is established starting with pilot MoUs and a 6-month field trial.

Core Systems Insight

"Deficiencies cut across infrastructure, institutions, and community coordination. Implementing the model's leverage points (decentralized distribution & active feedback loops) substantially improves resilience when done concurrently."

Conclusion & Next Steps Roadmap

Phase 1 (Months 1–3)

Secure pilot funding and execute stakeholder MoUs across community & utility partners.

Phase 2 (Months 4–9)

Deploy modular kiosk pilot with rigorous mixed-methods evaluation (6 months).

Phase 3 (Ongoing)

Iterate engineering models, publish empirical results, and engage state regulators for scaling.

FA

Fuad ALIPHATIC Adegoke

BSc. Systems Engineering (Undergraduate), UNILAG

adegokefuad1@gmail.com
Student2026

Published by

ASES · UNILAG

Association of Systems Engineering Students